Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.318493 0.426434 0.545514 0.684415 0.840008 1.007219 1.198893
2025-04-27 0.187123 0.329782 0.506723 0.731167 0.999290 1.302109 1.663514
2025-05-04 0.137208 0.297809 0.513595 0.801175 1.156660 1.568069 2.068329
2025-05-11 0.094135 0.260464 0.503716 0.843368 1.276006 1.787034 2.417867
2025-05-18 0.056833 0.216601 0.474686 0.852873 1.348777 1.945711 2.692631
2025-05-25 0.021894 0.155160 0.407446 0.802118 1.338756 1.999440 2.839157
2025-06-01 0.003970 0.104848 0.344220 0.747485 1.316690 2.033071 2.957134
2025-06-08 0.000008 0.075192 0.307214 0.724795 1.332397 2.110268 3.124877
2025-06-15 NaN 0.061877 0.297541 0.741374 1.399854 2.251799 3.370538
2025-06-22 NaN 0.044822 0.273953 0.732814 1.430548 2.345049 3.555745
2025-06-29 NaN 0.028988 0.245528 0.712555 1.442401 2.412388 3.707585
2025-07-06 NaN 0.026037 0.251157 0.749886 1.536569 2.586931 3.993394
2025-07-13 NaN 0.022771 0.256318 0.789453 1.638914 2.778699 4.309448
2025-07-20 NaN 0.020799 0.265425 0.836811 1.754044 2.989225 4.651693
2025-07-27 NaN 0.023082 0.290272 0.912728 1.911101 3.255001 5.063360
2025-08-03 NaN 0.020996 0.298148 0.957644 2.022594 3.460768 5.399731
2025-08-10 NaN 0.015060 0.287694 0.967873 2.082262 3.597565 5.648847
2025-08-17 NaN 0.005252 0.245133 0.913549 2.043201 3.601333 5.728251
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000500 0.203787 0.854977 1.993943 3.588861 5.784916
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.181131 0.830608 1.994949 3.642559 5.924559
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.178256 0.848417 2.061972 3.786405 6.180363
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.164059 0.839223 2.085330 3.869817 6.357778
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.145602 0.817453 2.087225 3.922821 6.495230